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Hanoi Faces Housing Shortage Amid Stable Prices

Posted by Khoi Pham on October 17, 2024
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Hanoi’s real estate market is currently facing a paradox: a significant housing supply increase amid stable prices, particularly for new apartments. As supply continues to surge, the price does not decrease, resulting in a mere 1% of apartments priced below 2 billion VND, which raises concerns about affordability for potential buyers. Despite a nearly 9% increase in average selling prices quarter-on-quarter, the disconnect between market forces and consumer purchasing power highlights a looming crisis. What implications might this imbalance hold for future market trends and urban development?

Table of Contents

Hanoi Real Estate Market Overview 2024

Hanoi is currently experiencing a notable housing supply increase, as highlighted by recent reports from CBRE.

Despite the supply of new homes is projected to be the highest in four years, the prices does not decrease, impacting the market significantly.

In the third quarter, over 8,200 apartments were launched, marking a notable increase. The total supply for 2024 is expected to exceed 19,000 units.

This discrepancy illustrates strong supply amid increasing price.

The conditions indicate that the market remains competitive, as buyers face a challenging environment with sufficient options for high-end segment.

As the housing supply increase persists, stakeholders are closely monitoring trends to understand the changing characteristics of supply and demand in Hanoi’s real estate sector.

Hanoi's Real Estate Supply Dynamics in 2024

The housing supply environment in Hanoi is characterized by a notable influx of new houses, particularly in the third quarter of the year. Over 3,200 houses became available, largely concentrated in the Dong Anh area, contributing to a strong supply movement.

This increase can be attributed to 11 key projects, predominantly located in urban centers, which have collectively driven the total supply for 2024 to exceed 19,000 units, marking the highest level in five years.

Additionally, major developers like Vinhomes and Sunshine Group are expected to deliver an additional 5,000 units by year-end, enhancing market accessibility.

This positive momentum in housing supply reflects an ongoing effort to address the prevailing shortages while meeting changing consumer demands.

Hanoi's Real Estate Price Trends in 2024

In the current market environment, there has been a notable upward trend in average selling prices for new apartments, with a nearly 9% increase observed quarter-on-quarter.

As of now, the average price for new apartments has reached approximately 60 million VND per square meter, while luxury segments are approaching 200 million VND per square meter.

This price escalation is also reflected in the landed property market, where selling prices have risen to 235 million VND per square meter.

This overall price growth highlights a challenging affordability scenario for potential buyers, as rising costs continue to outpace income growth.

Consequently, the market is becoming increasingly difficult for individuals seeking affordable housing options amid escalating prices.

Consumer Demand

Affordability remains a critical concern for potential homebuyers in the current Hanoi housing market. Recent surveys indicate that a significant portion of the population struggles with purchasing power, with 52% of respondents unable to afford homes. This challenge is compounded by the fact that only 1% of apartments sold are priced below 2 billion VND. Consequently, the demand for affordable housing continues to rise, highlighting a disconnect between market supply and consumer capacity.

IndicatorPercentage/ValueNote
Respondents lacking power52%Indicates affordability concerns
Apartments below 2 billion VND1%Reflects limited options for buyers
Demand for affordable housingHighPersistent despite rising prices

Future Outlook

How will the Hanoi housing market evolve in the coming years? Experts predict that 2024 will mark a turning point, alleviating the supply constraints that have plagued the market.

An increase in new housing developments is expected, particularly from major players like Vinhomes and Sunshine Group.

However, despite this enhanced supply, price escalation is anticipated to persist due to sustained demand, especially in the luxury segment.

Urban development and economic growth will significantly shape market activity, with a strong investment interest noted.

Nonetheless, the overarching challenge will be balancing supply growth with consumer affordability, as a significant portion of the population remains priced out of the market.

Effective strategies will be essential to guarantee long-term market stability.

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